BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 2A Class Rank: 32 Conference: (9-5) Overall: (12-9) Overall Strength = 60.44
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/30/2010 Away L 44.83 48 86 4A 20 ( 8-14) Mason City -15.61 -22.39
2 12/04/2010 Home L 64.48 47 48 3A 20 (16- 7) Webster City 4.04 -5.04
3 12/06/2010 Away W 77.40 73 40 2A 99 ( 1-20) Estherville LC 16.96 16.04 was 12/03 now 12/06
4 12/07/2010 Away W * 57.82 71 58 1A 64 ( 5-18) Belmond-Klemme -2.62 15.62
5 12/10/2010 Away L * 53.31 31 38 1A 21 (15- 8) North Iowa -7.13 0.13
6 12/14/2010 Away W * 66.35 52 46 2A 41 (12-10) Osage 5.92 0.08
7 12/17/2010 Home L * 66.67 42 43 2A 20 (17- 6) Garner-Hayfield 6.23 -7.23
8 01/04/2011 Away L * 49.12 60 70 1A 25 (14- 9) Mason City Newman -11.31 1.31
9 01/08/2011 Away L 47.45 44 63 3A 28 (15- 9) Clear Lake -12.99 -6.01
10 01/14/2011 Home W * 68.02 64 54 2A 36 (19- 5) Lake Mills 7.58 2.42
11 01/15/2011 Home W 72.52 66 49 3A 44 ( 8-14) Charles City 12.08 4.92
12 01/18/2011 Home W * 66.99 66 41 1A 64 ( 5-18) Belmond-Klemme 6.56 18.44
13 01/21/2011 Home W * 72.49 63 48 1A 21 (15- 8) North Iowa 12.05 2.95
14 01/22/2011 Home W 70.45 65 60 3A 24 (13- 9) Algona 10.02 -5.02
15 01/24/2011 Home W * 61.95 74 62 1A 43 ( 9-13) Britt West Hancock 1.51 10.49 was 01/07 now 01/24
16 01/25/2011 Home W * 64.53 57 50 2A 41 (12-10) Osage 4.09 2.91
17 01/28/2011 Away L * 42.50 25 53 2A 20 (17- 6) Garner-Hayfield -17.94 -10.06
18 02/03/2011 Home W * 66.30 65 55 1A 25 (14- 9) Mason City Newman 5.86 4.14 was 02/01 now 02/03
19 02/04/2011 Away W * 61.77 63 54 1A 43 ( 9-13) Britt West Hancock 1.33 7.67
20 02/10/2011 Away L * 46.84 46 60 2A 36 (19- 5) Lake Mills -13.60 -0.40
21 02/14/2011 Home L 47.42 71 80 3 2A 47 (13- 8) Saint Ansgar -13.02 4.02
Averages 60.44 56.8 55.1
Best game: 77.40 = 33 point win over Estherville Lincoln Central
Worst game: 42.50 = 28 point loss to Garner-Hayfield
Team stdev: 10.49